Shortly before the elections in Thuringia and Saxony, pollster Manfred Güllner believes that the outcome is unusually difficult to predict. The influence of the terrorist attack in Solingen on the results of individual parties on Sunday is open, said the founder of the Forsa Institute at a panel discussion of the German Press Agency in Berlin. "We have a lot of uncertainty anyway."
The two prime ministers - Bodo Ramelow (Linke) in Thuringia and Michael Kretschmer (CDU) in Saxony - are both very popular, Güllner explained. This also applies to supporters of other parties, but they did not vote for the incumbents.
"This is a situation, a decision-making matrix, that we are not used to in the old federal states," said Güllner. "This creates a great deal of uncertainty as to whether the moods we measure before the election will also translate into votes." He added: "In case of doubt, we really have to wait for the election results, perhaps even the final result, to know which coalitions are even possible."