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Hole in Dresden's budget of 310 million euros by 2031

Hole in Dresden's budget of 310 million euros by 2031
Dresden is expecting a growing deficit in the city budget until 2031 (symbolic image) / Photo: Monika Skolimowska/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa
From: DieSachsen News
The May tax estimate has dampened the expectations of local authorities. The hole in Dresden's municipal budget is now also likely to become larger.

The results of the May tax estimate are widening the hole in Dresden's budget. According to the administration, a deficit of around 310 million euros is expected by 2031. This will exacerbate the "already dramatic budget situation of the state capital". The experts lowered the trade tax revenue forecast for this year compared to 2025 from plus 3.5 percent (October estimate) to minus 3.3 percent. For Dresden, this means a drop in revenue expectations for this tax of around 33 million euros.

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Heavy burden for the city's decisions

"As if the unprecedented spending dynamics, especially in terms of mandatory services, were not enough, revenues are now also falling. This further restricts our room for maneuver (...)", explained Lord Mayor Dirk Hilbert (FDP). The forecast deficit is a heavy burden for all further decisions on the 2026 budget and the upcoming negotiations on the 2027/2028 double budget.

The City of Dresden referred to calculations by the Ministry of Finance, according to which the budget situation of the municipalities will continue to worsen. "Compared to the last tax estimate at the end of 2025, municipal tax revenues will fall by a total of more than 1.1 billion euros between 2026 and 2030. In contrast, the state's tax revenue will improve by a good 130 million euros in the same period," it said.

OB calls for reform of financial relations

For Hilbert, these figures are further proof that "the financial crisis of the municipalities can only be solved through fundamental structural reforms of the financial relations between the state levels": "In the cities and municipalities, we not only pay the bills for the orders from the federal and state governments, but then only get the crumbs from the tax cake."

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