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Without immigration, Eastern Germany is losing a large number of workers

Without immigration, Eastern Germany is losing a large number of workers
Without immigration, the working-age population in the east is shrinking. (File photo) / Photo: Heiko Rebsch/dpa
From: DieSachsen News
Is a Vicious Cycle Looming? Why Eastern Germany Is Losing Many Workers Without Immigration—and Which Occupations Are Particularly Affected.

Without immigration, the working-age population in the eastern German states will shrink significantly. The German Economic Institute (IW) has calculated that by 2045, more than one-fifth—or 22.4 percent—of the potential workforce would be lost. Nationwide, the figure stands at 17.4 percent. People between the ages of 15 and 66 are considered to be of working age.

According to the IW, approximately 7.7 million people of working age currently live in eastern Germany. Without immigration, this number would drop to around 6 million, the economic research institute reported. Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Saxony-Anhalt would be particularly hard hit. 

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Nursing, skilled trades, doctors—who would be particularly sorely missed

“If a region faces a massive labor shortage, the economy can no longer provide for the population,” the economic researchers explained. This would be particularly noticeable in professions that are difficult to automate—such as nursing staff, hairstylists, tradespeople, or doctors.

The worst-case demographic scenario would be if a decline in the attractiveness of the eastern German states triggered a new wave of out-migration similar to that of the 1990s, according to the IW: “This threatens to create a vicious cycle of fewer workers, less economic strength, reduced appeal for younger people, and even more people moving away.”

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