In the 2040/2041 school year, up to 20 percent fewer children and young people will be attending school in Saxony than today, according to a forecast. Instead of around 419,250, the State Statistical Office expects only 337,450 to 367,500 pupils, according to the latest regionalized forecast.
The trend is particularly clear at elementary school: 114,890 to 125,020 children are expected to study there - that would be up to a quarter fewer than now.
Pupil numbers to fall drastically from 2028
The numbers are expected to rise slightly to 418,600 to 428,900 pupils by the 2027/2028 school year and then fall sharply in the following years. The entire state is affected by this development, but regional differences are expected.
The decline will be smallest in the city and district of Leipzig, where 8.6 percent and 9.8 percent fewer pupils are expected respectively. The largest drop in numbers is expected in the Erzgebirgskreis district, where a decline of up to 28.1 percent is considered possible.
