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Poll: AfD far ahead among voters in Saxony

Dresden 21. May 2026 14:49 Uhr 3 Min
Poll: AfD far ahead among voters in Saxony
Saxony's AfD party and parliamentary group leader Jörg Urban believes his party is ready for a sole government in the Free State. (Archive photo) / Photo: Sebastian Kahnert/dpa
From: DieSachsen News
The AfD in Saxony would currently be by far the strongest party in the state if state elections were held - at least according to a survey. The party considers itself ready for a sole government.

According to a survey in Saxony, the AfD has 42% of the second votes and would currently be by far the strongest force in a state election. At 21 percent, the CDU only achieves half of this share of the vote, according to the survey conducted by the Insa opinion research institute on behalf of the news portal Nius. They are followed by Die Linke (9%) and the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance (7%). The SPD and the Greens are tied at 6 percent.

For the survey, which the institute claims is representative, 1,000 people were questioned online between May 13 and 20. The maximum margin of error is plus/minus 3.5 percent.

Compared to a survey conducted in May 2025, the AfD gained 7 percentage points. The CDU loses 5 percentage points, the BSW 4. The Greens and the Left remain unchanged with their results, the SPD gains one percentage point.

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Party leader Urban: AfD prepares to take over government

AfD party and parliamentary group leader Jörg Urban commented on the results: "Polls are sentiment surveys, the results are settled at the election." Nevertheless, it is obvious that trust in the CDU of Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Minister President Michael Kretschmer is eroding. In the public's perception, the CDU can no longer be reformed. "The AfD, on the other hand, is trusted to govern alone." They are therefore preparing intensively to take over the government.

Election polls are generally fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party loyalty and increasingly short-term election decisions make it difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. As a general rule, polls only reflect opinions at the time of the survey and are not forecasts of possible election outcomes.

Saxony will elect a new state parliament in 2029

In Saxony, a new state parliament will not be elected until 2029. In the last round of voting in 2024, the CDU was just ahead of the AfD (30.6%) with 31.9% of the list votes. However, the AfD has beaten the CDU/CSU three times in a row in federal elections. The CDU/CSU is currently forming a minority government with the SPD.

Copyright 2026, dpa (www.dpa.de). All rights reserved

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Parliament Poll Saxony Party Election Dresden
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Projekt Saxony Today : Mehrsprachigkeit von regionalen Nachrichten für in Sachsen lebende Menschen ohne deutsche Muttersprache. Projekt wird gefördert durch die Sächsische Landesanstalt für privaten Rundfunk und neue Medien. Diese Maßnahme wird mitfinanziert durch Steuermittel auf Grundlage des vom Sächsischen Landtag beschlossenen Haushaltes.
Projekt Saxony Today : Mehrsprachigkeit von regionalen Nachrichten für in Sachsen lebende Menschen ohne deutsche Muttersprache. Projekt wird gefördert durch die Sächsische Landesanstalt für privaten Rundfunk und neue Medien. Diese Maßnahme wird mitfinanziert durch Steuermittel auf Grundlage des vom Sächsischen Landtag beschlossenen Haushaltes.