In a new poll for the state elections in Saxony on September 1, the CDU achieved the best approval rating with 34% and is 4 percentage points ahead of the AfD. According to the ZDF Politbarometer conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, the Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) alliance ranks behind it with 11 percent.
The two current coalition partners of the CDU/CSU - the SPD and the Greens - would each receive 6% and would thus manage to re-enter the state parliament. With 4 percent, the Left Party is threatened with failing the five percent hurdle; they would have to hope to win two direct mandates in order to be represented in parliament in the future.
According to these poll results, the CDU could continue its current alliance. There would also be a narrow majority for a coalition of CDU and BSW. A government consisting of the CDU and AfD would also be mathematically possible, but the CDU/CSU has repeatedly ruled this out.